After three weeks of picks, I can confirm we’re currently sat on a 55% strikerate – not bad, but we can do better.
As leagues go on, more easily-recognisable traits begin to appear which make these matchups dissectible. That’s not to say the good teams get better and the bad teams get worse – this isn’t baseball.
But it does mean that their schemes and their situations decisions in-play start to solidify as identities are created.
This should give us an edge going forward, and I think, wagers aside, everyone has been pretty happy with how the XFL has turned out. Sure, it might not be your Sunday routine that features Redzone, but it’s certainly football.
And football, as you know, is all that matters.
Seattle Dragons (+12.5) @ Houston Roughnecks: +370
7th March 2020 @ 2PM
The Houston Roughnecks put it all together last week and notice has been officially sent to the rest of the NFL – this Texas outfit are the very early front-runners for the Championship, and there seems to be little in the way of outside contenders for that crowd.
PJ Walker is probably the biggest question NFL general managers have right now in terms of a crossover into elite competition, but his partner in crime Cam Phillips is even more likely to be an NFL roster by the time training camp comes around in August.
However, giving anyone 12.5 points seems ludicrous.
I know Seattle have been relatively misfiring, particularly on offence, but they’re very well-coached and make better in-game adjustments than most teams about .500.
And now that they’re free of Brandon Silvers, they should be comfortable in moving the ball down the field too. Take Seattle to cover with CanPlay.
New York Guardians (8.0) @ Dallas Renegades: -111
7th March 2020 @ 5PM
The Guardians may have turned a corner, both in terms of the win column and their offensive direction. I also think Matt McGloin is a lovely example of just why you can’t clearly divide quality levels by saying nobody in the XFL is NFL-ready.
McGloin, who is still highly thought-of in some NFL circles was evidently holding the Guardians back, and now with Luis Perez as the signal-caller, they might well stop throwing picks.
While on the other side of this narrative-filled matchup, Landry Jones, who had been playing to a very decent level, is now sidelined for what could be upto a month.
The transition period between him and their new signal-caller from East Carolina is enough reason for me to take the dogs here.
Dallas might run the most complex scheme in the league. Best of luck, Philip Nelson.
St. Louis Battlehawks (-3.5) @ DC Defenders: -121
8th March 2020 @ 2PM
Cardale Jones started this XFL season like a man possessed. And now he looks like a man, possessed.
While all of this was happening, the Battlehawks have gotten better and better as the weeks have progressed – and their 3-1 record does not flatter them one bit.
It may be the easier of the two divisions, but they’re very sophisticated on both sides of the ball and I fully suspect they will cover the spread in this.
Back the Battlehawks with CanPlay.