Week 16 – everyone’s biggest fear.
That’s largely due to the fact that you’re either playing meaningful football or you’re not and players pre-game aren’t even sure which to be more nervous about.
On one hand, it’s important to be contending at this time of year, but on the other hand, the nerves leading into a game that matters can be exceptionally tense and cause inexplicable dips in form.
You need to be aware of these perms when betting on Week 16, because nothing is truly as it seems. My suggestion? Focus more on coaching than on the individual players.
This is the week you see aggressive coaches lose their strut and go conservative.
Houston Texans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Under 49 points (-117)
Saturday 21st December 1PM
When I think of this matchup, my attention immediately turns towards the dynamic duo of Bill O’Brien and Jameis Winston. Not because there are not two people on this planet less alike, but because they’re both so erratic on opening drives.
It’s maybe best to divide the points total into quarters when backing a total, and in this instant, you need 12.5 points a quarter to lose.
It seems more likely to me that Jameis Winston does his usual trick of throwing an interception on the opening drive, while Bill O’Brien will maintain his status quo of playing overly conservative with his opening possession.
The Houston Texans average the lowest points return per opening drive in the league and the reason for that is because their coaching staff, like most others, script the first few plays of every game for their offence.
Is Bill O’Brien a terrible schemer or a master adjustor? I’d rather not speculate, instead opting for what I know – these two won’t be handing much of a return in the first quarter, making it a race against time to have the total toppled.
Bet the under with CanPlay.
Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Cleveland Browns (-110)
Sunday 22nd December 1PM
Run the well dry.
The Cleveland Browns may not be trying to lose but the key development is that they’re not trying very hard to win, and teams who don’t try hard to win definitely give up trying not to lose by a wide margin when they fall behind.
The biggest enemy of backing against a big favourite on the spread is garbage time points that handicap the spread. This won’t be a problem here as Cleveland will have all but downed tools by then.
Freddie Kitchens might have his job for next year, but he’ll do well to recoup his dignity.
Back the Ravens to win by double digits with CanPlay.
Oakland Raiders (+6.0) @ Los Angeles Chargers (+105)
Sunday 22nd December 4:05PM
The Oakland Raiders are running out of time as the Oakland Raiders. They were stung late in their last-ever game at home, which acted as a fitting tribute to their time in the Bay Area.
But this is a good football unit. Derek Carr doesn’t turn the ball over, while they’ve almost certainly got the Offensive Rookie of the Year running between the tackles.
The Chargers coughed the ball up seven times and don’t get home advantage here. Time to wake up, odds-setters.
Back the Oakland Raiders (+6.0) with CanPlay Sports!