Well, last week’s Conference Finals didn’t exactly go as forecasted.
The Seattle Sounders shocked LAFC in the Banc of California Stadium thanks to a two-goal salvo from Raul Ruidiaz. While in the Eastern Conference, Toronto also won away from home. Greg Vanney’s side beat last year’s MLS Cup winners, Atlanta United, in a stoic defensive performances.
That result means we will have a repeat of the 2016 and 2017 MLS Cup Finals with Seattle hosting Toronto on Sunday afternoon. This will be somewhat of a decider between the two. The Sounders were victorious in 2016 while Toronto got revenge in the 2017 final.
Seattle’s home advantage has influenced the betting and they are strong favourites, listed at -110 with CanPlay.
MLS Cup Final Preview – Seattle Sounders vs Toronto FC
Sunday 10th November 3PM
Seattle Sounders trailed LAFC by some margin in the regular season but Brian Schmetzer’s team produced the goods when needed most. They came from 1-0 down to win 3-1 against The Black & Gold last Tuesday night.
Goalkeeper Stefan Frei has been something of a hero for the Sounders in the playoff run. He kept Real Salt Lake scoreless before limiting LAFC to one goal, despite facing 15 shots. We have known all season that the Seattle forwards can produce but their defense has really come into its’ own in the last two games.
Raul Ruidiaz (who scored a brace against LAFC), Nicolas Lodeiro and Jordan Morris have been more than capable in the attack in 2019. They will have to provide again on Sunday in front of 69,000 expecting home fans.
The opposition will be without their key man, Jozy Altidore. The U.S International said it would be ‘a miracle’ if he was to take to the field on Sunday. Altidore hasn’t featured in a TFC squad since leaving the field with an injury on the 6th of October against Columbus.
He will be a big miss but they have found ready replacements in the form of Alejandro Pozuelo and Nick DeLeon. The pair have been inspirational for the Canadian outfit in tight wins over New York City FC and Atlanta United in the playoffs. Those victories were a continuation of their regular season and TFC are now on a 12-game unbeaten streak.
Looking ahead to this game, what can we expect?
Finals – and knockout games in general – are usually tight, tense affairs. That logic seems to go out the window in MLS. The playoffs have averaged over four goals per game and we have had some classics including LAFC 5-3 LA Galaxy, Philadelphia Union 4-3 NY Red Bulls and Seattle Sounders 4-3 FC Dallas.
With that in mind we’re predicting another high scoring game. Over 3.5 goals looks a decent bet at +200 but if you’re feeling a bit more adventurous you can back over 4.5 goals at +465 with CanPlay.
In the match betting, we like the look of the underdogs. Toronto have a huge amount of belief in their system and going 12 games undefeated is no mean feat in the MLS. All of the breaks have gone their way in the offseason. Pozuelo’s last minute penalty against NYCFC, Quentin Westberg’s penalty save in the Conference Final and so many more. Toronto FC to win and over 2.5 goals looks a decent bet at +490. If you’re not as confident about the goalfest as we are then you can back them to win in 90 minutes at +265.
Bet on the MLS Cup Final with CanPlay Sports.