Liverpool v Manchester City, 11:30AM Sunday 10th November
You wouldn’t be blamed for expecting a goalfest in Liverpool v Manchester City on Sunday.
If Pep Guardiola’s side continue scoring at the rate they have been in the Premier League, they’ll comfortably top 100 goals come May – overtaking their record haul of 106 two seasons ago. Meanwhile, Liverpool can boast such attacking riches as Mo Salah, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane with the likes of Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Gini Wijnaldum increasingly chipping in with important goals.
The Reds are unbeaten in an incredible 28 top flight games home and away, with their last defeat coming at the Etihad in early January. Of course that run has to come to an end at some stage and who better than their title rivals to inflict it on them?
You wouldn’t have been blamed for expecting a goalfest in this fixture last season either. Except it finished scoreless. A late Riyad Mahrez penalty miss ensured a stalemate that both managers seemed happy with. A draw wouldn’t be the worst result in the world for either club again on Sunday and we quite fancy it at +260 on CanPlay. A score draw is a slightly more attractive +305. Alternatively, the hosts are +170 to triumph while the visitors are +155 to cut Liverpool’s lead to three points. Their last meeting – in August’s Community Shield – ended 1-1 after 90 minutes and a repeat is available at +600.
In fact the last four meetings between the top two have resulted in just eight goals. Neither side have exactly been in swashbuckling form this campaign either. Despite topping the table by six points, Jurgen Klopp’s team have scored just ten goals in their last six league outings. City, meanwhile, have managed the same number in their five games since their 8-0 demolition of Watford. Under 2.5 Goals can be backed here at +120.
City have gone 16 years without a league win at Anfield , while Liverpool’s last league defeat at home was in April 2017. To put that into perspective, they’ve contested two Champions League finals since that defeat against Crystal Palace. The same weekend Mo Salah grabbed a brace – for Roma – with Allison Becker on their bench behind first-choice keeper Wojciech Szczęsny, while Virgil Van Dijk missed Southampton’s defeat at Chelsea through injury.
City have scored first, though, in the last three meetings that have seen goals and it’s -115 for them to make that four in a row on Sunday afternoon. Liverpool haven’t led at half-time in their last five league meetings and City to lead at half-time and a draw at full-time looks like quite decent value at +1325, while the visitors are -105 to score in the opening 45 minutes. Should they fall behind, Liverpool won’t panic –they’ve come from behind in their last three league games and scored the last goal in their last six Premier League matches – and are +100 to score the last goal of this crucial clash at Anfield.
Raheem Sterling scored City’s goal the last time they met and the forward, with seven league goals already this term, will relish netting again against his former employers. He’s +500 to get the opener and +160 to get one at anytime with CanPlay.
Read our other Premier League previews here.
All prices correct as time of publishing. All times given are Toronto Eastern.